Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2c1ad33e5ada4bd6c3cfa5ffe8782dd176eb08a3e62067a7bb7ba3a3bba8e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 15,556$7,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 43c | 14,999$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.43 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 65c | 13,741$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 4,922$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.75 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 35c | 4,625$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 51c | 4,348$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.43 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 4,193$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.66 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked No | 47c | 2,294$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 35c | 1,963$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.05 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 1,578$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,363$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.08 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,097$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 39c | 1,030$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 46c | 738.52$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 47c | 635.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 64c | 608.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 35c | 591.37$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 64c | 570$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 65c | 560$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 66c | 500.01$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 494.48$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 65c | 430.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 48c | 430$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 34c | 406.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 54c | 388.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 28c | 354.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 36c | 348.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 64c | 340.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 65c | 307.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 57c | 302.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 65c | 286.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 275$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 274.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 65c | 261.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 64c | 260.91$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 63c | 249.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 48c | 246.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 47c | 246$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yes | 46c | 230.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 224.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 36c | 204.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 48c | 165.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 62c | 161.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3470backed Yes | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 66c | 151.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 67c | 149.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 47c | 145.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 47c | 140.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 139.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…0dfabacked Yes | 66c | 137.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5388backed Yes | 64c | 129.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 64c | 126.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 64c | 124.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Yes | 65c | 121.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 58c | 120.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 65c | 120.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 107.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…eff7backed Yes | 65c | 104.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +117%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…f07fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…79aebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 57c | 93.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.