TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes54c25,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c24,687$11,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,330.412451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c14,851$8,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,567.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c11,362$5,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,964.3730031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684d…6354backed No50c10,400$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f75…fd89backed Yes50c10,400$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes54c9,825$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c5,331$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.7976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No47c5,195$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.17038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No46c4,700$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.988359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c4,542$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes44c4,414$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.421,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes49c3,448$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.3813461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,609$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes36c2,000$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.935740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…b02ebacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes43c1,949$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6418641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes40c1,940$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes51c1,935$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c1,653$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.671,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes76c958.09$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.711650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes5c835.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.873925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes42c823.1$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.15545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No41c805.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.049829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37829250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c598.83$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes46c486.09$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.61225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c462.24$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3634630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes44c457.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes45c448.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes45c448.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes45c423.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.514447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ea…e0fbbacked Yes50c417.56$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes50c370.47$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc48c…b218backed Yes53c370$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.11060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes54c321.35$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.534837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c312.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7828754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Yes71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes48c299.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No30c257$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9725954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes44c226.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes72c224$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.281258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes53c223$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c194.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8816442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes75c184.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.722458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No52c179.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5616841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed No51c176$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e0…3878backed Yes45c169.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…b610backed Yes35c156.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No49c155.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4318452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes46c153.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No38c152.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.525343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.539621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc4…48aebacked Yes75c149.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-65.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eab…4176backed Yes51c145.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No57c144.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.118145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c143.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa302…25f4backed Yes43c134.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670f…1439backed Yes75c134.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+141.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes48c130.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.091957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No48c127.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1713654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes49c127.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes52c126.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.612035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a6…8924backed No51c122.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes43c112.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7765…f23fbacked Yes51c110.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562580%20 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes42c108.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes53c107.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c106$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.342352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No57c104.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.084355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54580%4 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick27cpaid+187.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe709…5bb2backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f66cbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes47c94.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes53c94.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0321840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x406f…4855backed Yes75c93.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4570…402abacked Yes19c92.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed No47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.