Fifa International · resolved market
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6764c0763501ee2c28705d93248b2d4621fbf3bc25f163da3fa199ab95d229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 24,687$11,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,330.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 14,851$8,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 11,362$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,964.37 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…6354backed No | 50c | 10,400$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…fd89backed Yes | 50c | 10,400$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 54c | 9,825$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 5,331$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.79 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 47c | 5,195$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.98 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 4,542$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.5 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 44c | 4,414$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.42 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 49c | 3,448$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.38 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,609$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.93 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b02ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,949$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.64 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 40c | 1,940$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,935$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 1,653$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.67 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 76c | 958.09$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 5c | 835.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 42c | 823.1$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 41c | 805.81$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.04 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 598.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 46c | 486.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 462.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 44c | 457.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 45c | 448.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 45c | 448.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 45c | 423.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…e0fbbacked Yes | 50c | 417.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 50c | 370.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…b218backed Yes | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 54c | 321.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 312.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 48c | 299.02$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 30c | 257$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 44c | 226.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 72c | 224$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 53c | 223$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 194.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 75c | 184.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 179.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Yes | 45c | 169.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…b610backed Yes | 35c | 156.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 155.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 46c | 153.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 38c | 152.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…48aebacked Yes | 75c | 149.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…4176backed Yes | 51c | 145.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 57c | 144.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 143.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…25f4backed Yes | 43c | 134.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1439backed Yes | 75c | 134.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 48c | 130.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 127.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 49c | 127.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 52c | 126.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed No | 51c | 122.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 43c | 112.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…f23fbacked Yes | 51c | 110.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes | 42c | 108.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 106$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 57c | 104.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…5bb2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f66cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 47c | 94.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…4855backed Yes | 75c | 93.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4570…402abacked Yes | 19c | 92.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?No won
- Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.