Fifa International · resolved market
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3641cddd0bbcb705f715ae90308e1a0f70816a2553c41271b1df1e37191effa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 77c | 1,443$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 739.77$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 712.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 670$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 18c | 550.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 25c | 378.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 45c | 277.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 23c | 266.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 49c | 236.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…0ac1backed No | 61c | 220.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…2c90backed Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 165.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 146.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 23c | 138.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 131.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 103.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 21c | 96.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 22c | 89.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 73.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 71.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 30c | 67.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed No | 50c | 59.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6d…8d7bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 67c | 39.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Yes | 29c | 37.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 73c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…5794backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 56c | 21.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…6dc4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 70c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…bb16backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?this page
- Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.