Fifa International · resolved market
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af622cfc13c20c382670a8bcbf725582c1136fd861ac642b19fde6cd6c5a61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,693$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 2,304$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.39 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,841$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.2 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,453$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.13 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 926.51$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 25c | 648$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 9c | 560$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 25c | 495.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 56c | 395.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 289.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes | 76c | 230.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 57c | 225$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 26c | 215.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…017cbacked Yes | 74c | 162.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 69c | 144.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…8938backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +232.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 76c | 109.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 104.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1439backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 94.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 16c | 88.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 76c | 80.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 75c | 75.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 73.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…2c90backed Yes | 20c | 72.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…196bbacked Yes | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 79c | 59.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9398…c81abacked No | 30c | 57.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 24c | 46.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 54c | 41.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac5…8d0abacked No | 80c | 25.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…5514backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…bb16backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?No won
- Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.