TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7147…ab83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.78
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.03
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.29
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.2%+$44.15
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52.55
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jacksonville State vs. UTEPbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+113%+$41.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+80.3%+$38.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+58.3%+$87.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+45.5%+$50.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.