South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd046599899089a4e695e1fff59ed221d03f4227d5fc9b14a33d9b83c83288166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 35,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 38c | 34,618$13,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,154.89 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 2,344$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.91 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,607$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 1,431$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,264$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,210$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 42c | 1,183$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.95 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 36c | 1,159$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 951.22$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 924.48$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.74 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…e0e4backed Yes | 64c | 785.94$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 56c | 621.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 33c | 570$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…764dbacked Yes | 64c | 390.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 34c | 292.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…45e6backed Yes | 63c | 224.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…aeb2backed Yes | 56c | 209.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 49c | 201.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 64c | 156.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 155.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 62c | 152.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 40c | 88.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 41c | 79.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 59c | 70.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked No | 39c | 64.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…1298backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +144%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Yes | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed No | 39c | 49.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 44.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…2551backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…c4a3backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…229cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…3afcbacked Yes | 45c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 51c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…c34bbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 61c | 25.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…534abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…4f3abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…7158backed Yes | 63c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 42c | 23.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 76c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.