TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$843,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,076,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes60c143,988$86,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,595.232828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c114,369$34,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,058.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,999.959450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes59c65,255$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,754.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c60,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,199.831947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c40,003$16,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,201.3930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No41c34,776$14,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,258.0111838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c28,554$11,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,557.2924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c23,142$13,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,594.7920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No35c21,125$7,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,483.79450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes76c20,000$15,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800.136357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes58c17,783$10,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,469.046149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No46c14,501$6,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,603.6929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes52c14,500$7,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9609646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c12,848$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No41c11,190$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.387256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.927448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.339636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c6,400$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No37c6,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes65c5,045$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.1427235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3916…2e33backed Yes76c4,999$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No41c4,950$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.522744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Yes59c4,803$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes59c4,746$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No36c4,351$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.516650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No24c4,292$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb9…4feabacked Yes53c4,077$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No12c3,937$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.4719743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No47c3,878$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.6935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes58c3,716$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.23842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No40c3,622$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.7831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c3,600$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c3,360$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.610335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2304746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes59c3,000$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.6832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes65c3,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06051542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c3,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No40c2,887$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.124456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No42c2,752$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed7…9839backed Yes60c2,484$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes59c2,450$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.519729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc0…55e9backed Yes53c2,373$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No41c2,361$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.1621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes52c1,909$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.623647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes59c1,858$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.832661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes59c1,761$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.169238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No34c1,734$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.268155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No41c1,720$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes60c1,710$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c1,643$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.71,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65618123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51013727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No45c1,499$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c1,490$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59630050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked No1c1,455$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes60c1,358$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.324729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes49c1,350$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.492055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes53c1,247$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes60c1,230$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.167035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdea6…a170backed No25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…bf1dbacked No25c1,199$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.851650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked No42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes53c1,190$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes51c1,155$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c1,066$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes59c1,019$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked No42c1,018$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes57c971.9$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.511266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes77c937.53$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3693145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6d…5144backed Yes59c900$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes58c870.69$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes59c852.54$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.543330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes77c836.05$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2912252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes61c820$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.82564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes60c820$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3287231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32817544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes52c721.15$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.151747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…a7f7backed Yes59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes68c682.49$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No51c629.09$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No38c626.13$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.645240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes58c611$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes62c606.34$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.359263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes60c599.92$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.979359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c564.28$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7123350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes51c562.75$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.751973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c543.23$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes62c537.53$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.721,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.