Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a921b2d2ffa9855cccb85a8bb8d41a11fb9c2a1d42f7430632063ba1921ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 20c | 75,000$14,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,980.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 35,548$27,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 13,895$10,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 20c | 11,802$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.74 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 10,894$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 8,475$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.91 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 80c | 7,602$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 7,419$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.39 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 21c | 6,380$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 20c | 6,299$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.37 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 79c | 5,909$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.98 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,705$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 79c | 4,100$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 21c | 3,500$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.9 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 20c | 3,045$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,861$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.45 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 79c | 2,780$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.79 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…e387backed Yes | 24c | 2,646$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,630$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 20c | 2,471$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.89 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…8ecbbacked No | 80c | 2,393$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…062fbacked No | 80c | 2,301$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 80c | 2,006$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 20c | 1,964$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 1,795$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.9 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 20c | 1,785$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 14c | 1,675$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 21c | 1,636$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…4712backed Yes | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes | 21c | 1,473$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…2cb8backed Yes | 21c | 1,441$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 1,358$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 20c | 1,172$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 4c | 1,097$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 78c | 998.98$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…eee3backed Yes | 21c | 951.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b1…a1a7backed Yes | 20c | 907.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…0ababacked Yes | 21c | 725.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 24c | 621.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 78c | 618$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…42ccbacked Yes | 6c | 599.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 19c | 594.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…4067backed Yes | 21c | 591.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 582.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 565.91$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 4c | 559.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 20c | 546$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 19c | 533.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 20c | 528.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…fca5backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 21c | 491.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 483.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 80c | 463$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed No | 80c | 438.57$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…158bbacked Yes | 21c | 438.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…4a8fbacked Yes | 24c | 412.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 20c | 410$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b839backed Yes | 21c | 376.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes | 13c | 338.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 21c | 335.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 24c | 329$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 18c | 307.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…b588backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b5…49bfbacked Yes | 8c | 268.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3f82backed Yes | 21c | 252.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 18c | 252.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…ada1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…e671backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…00f4backed Yes | 11c | 221.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 22c | 210.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 21c | 209.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.