Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7933a780a4e650e43f19a61e7847a4984d7b006888f160dd0dce96df7416b209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 27,466$21,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.34 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 78c | 21,221$16,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.52 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked Yes | 22c | 20,354$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 12,314$9,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.03 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,623$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,942$6,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,221$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 78c | 4,608$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.78 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 4,388$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.46 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,261$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 77c | 2,893$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.39 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,507$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 2,258$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.74 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 22c | 1,446$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 71c | 1,202$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 564.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 22c | 543.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436e…3b4abacked Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 470.76$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 21c | 470$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 23c | 444.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 23c | 435.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…c44ebacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 276$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…3240backed Yes | 22c | 263.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 228$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…4118backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…0695backed No | 79c | 178.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 175.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 22c | 149.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…5f5ebacked Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…834dbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…3108backed Yes | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 79c | 111.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 78c | 108.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 22c | 98.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b839backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…6adcbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…c1e7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 25c | 79.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 19c | 79.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 19c | 75.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…c984backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 79c | 50.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 79c | 39.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 77c | 26.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…30a5backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 79cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…056abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6d…5fb2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +243.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…d559backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…59b9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…f0dcbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.