College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. USC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef81ee514454c50f5ca8a8f2c83fecce374e5ac79c58ccd3bedaf811c694bf14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof Iowa, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed USC | 45c | 20,202$9,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.97 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Iowa | 66c | 18,876$12,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,404.38 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked USC | 68c | 12,612$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa | 32c | 9,952$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.64 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa | 55c | 9,711$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.57 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed USC | 53c | 8,103$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed Iowa | 58c | 7,952$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked USC | 52c | 7,728$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.83 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Iowa | 32c | 4,169$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.71 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa | 54c | 4,007$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.15 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed USC | 35c | 3,235$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.62 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iowa | 61c | 3,100$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked USC | 49c | 2,796$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.06 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC | 38c | 2,584$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.94 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC | 47c | 2,514$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.67 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC | 35c | 2,344$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.08 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa | 56c | 2,029$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.27 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed USC | 38c | 1,998$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.97 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Iowa | 32c | 1,800$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.81 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked USC | 68c | 1,625$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Iowa | 18c | 1,499$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Iowa | 31c | 1,465$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…414ebacked USC | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked USC | 41c | 1,420$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked USC | 68c | 1,296$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.64 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed USC | 35c | 1,261$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.1 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed USC | 33c | 1,216$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC | 41c | 1,200$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.92 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Iowa | 64c | 1,062$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed USC | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa | 27c | 966.83$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC | 42c | 928.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Iowa | 31c | 825.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed USC | 38c | 812.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed USC | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed USC | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked USC | 56c | 763.68$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Iowa | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Iowa | 59c | 722.01$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.33 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked USC | 78c | 712.84$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Iowa | 51c | 690$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked USC | 45c | 665.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed USC | 55c | 654.03$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.47 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC | 32c | 585$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Iowa | 36c | 555.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Iowa | 53c | 546.6$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Iowa | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed USC | 39c | 431$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa | 30c | 429.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed USC | 48c | 408$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ef52backed Iowa | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed USC | 52c | 383.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa | 31c | 338.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed USC | 70c | 322.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed USC | 65c | 319.12$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d12backed Iowa | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…5521backed Iowa | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…a5e9backed Iowa | 63c | 300.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Iowa | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Iowa | 71c | 300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked USC | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Iowa | 32c | 251.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Iowa | 36c | 250$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked USC | 41c | 241.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Iowa | 52c | 204.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked USC | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…466fbacked USC | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Iowa | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked USC | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…3a5ebacked Iowa | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Iowa | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…3391backed USC | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…e345backed Iowa | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed USC | 70c | 197.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Iowa | 32c | 196.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed USC | 69c | 193$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Iowa | 31c | 193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Iowa | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed USC | 40c | 190.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa | 31c | 166.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed USC | 49c | 162$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed USC | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Iowa | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked USC | 69c | 145.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed USC | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked USC | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Iowa | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed USC | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed USC | 43c | 140.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Iowa | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…adcdbacked Iowa | 11c | 116.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Iowa | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed USC | 41c | 112.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Iowa | 44c | 104.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed USC | 76c | 100.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed USC | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Iowa | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Iowa | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Iowa | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. USCthis page
- Iowa vs. USC: 1H MoneylineIowa won
- Iowa vs. USC: O/U 48.5Under won
- O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: USC (-6.5)Iowa won
- Spread: USC (-7.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.