TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ee9…7d12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.91
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$67.77
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$144.35
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$121.7
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$37.35
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$130.1
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+105.8%+$101.53
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96.91
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$42.41
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$98.09
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+162.9%+$195.51
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+159.6%+$152.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101.97
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$149.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+455.6%+$250.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+418.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+418.1%+$514.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.