TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c7,988$3,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.4469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c7,753$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.191,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c6,984$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.093,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c5,922$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.9990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes18c5,320$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes61c5,125$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes75c4,600$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.293650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes71c3,241$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.072860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…12b3backed Yes61c2,800$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes69c2,506$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.45862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No36c2,422$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5721842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.073452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes51c1,605$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c1,489$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.044,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No29c1,321$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes56c1,242$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes76c1,097$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8915236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9f…806fbacked Yes18c1,089$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c1,074$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No29c1,031$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa13…f778backed Yes17c960$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+139.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…47eebacked Yes70c822$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4381442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7603…e3c1backed Yes18c561.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes19c553.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.052650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.542030%6 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa433…67ccbacked Yes22c534.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+122.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes78c515.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.485366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5411…72c0backed Yes29c492.76$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes56c470.23$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.172937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes18c470$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.45151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes34c438$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2612251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes18c435.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes66c434.44$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9819652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes75c431$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c418.35$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4374657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes72c409.28$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes35c393.6$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.842138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No66c384.12$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.677440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes34c370.59$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.592454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes19c370.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.212445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes4c333$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.685143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes70c317.51$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.761952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d12backed Yes18c305.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2467745.5%35 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c292.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.162245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes76c257.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.745952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58d4…ee79backed Yes78c235$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes14c234.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.168641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.531136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d8…2b8dbacked No26c199.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505c…1604backed Yes34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c170.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8be5…b19bbacked Yes62c159.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes33c150.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.763658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20e1…d623backed Yes18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+157.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes72c147.78$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58de…b7a5backed Yes50c139.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691d…599fbacked Yes17c139$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c130.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes62c123.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No29c123.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.971526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes19c111$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.919736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes35c110.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.087753.2%41 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c105.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes32c100.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+113.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Yes19c89.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes57c87.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.413636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No31c82.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9718…dd82backed Yes19c77.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+159.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.514166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes42c71.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6723762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Yes34c67.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe10…f516backed Yes60c67.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Yes77c65.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.