La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8070d9ca706a8e32a4374b279d37642413d799ec90d0e02b044f446ea1abc513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $816,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,006 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 30c | 173,898$52,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,136.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 97,256$39,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,897.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 70c | 71,429$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…5986backed Yes | 63c | 58,430$36,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,976.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 30c | 57,491$16,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,503.4 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 31c | 47,209$14,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,424.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 45,464$31,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,785.36 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 44,007$19,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,782.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.85 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 69c | 25,015$17,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,260.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 71c | 25,000$17,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,750 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 31c | 22,154$6,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,286.22 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 31c | 21,472$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,815.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 20,770$14,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,726.46 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a9…9ebfbacked Yes | 58c | 20,632$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 29c | 18,215$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,947.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 68c | 17,121$11,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,576.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 62c | 15,802$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,774.72 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 13,123$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.59 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 46c | 12,919$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 12,512$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,740.45 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 11,361$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.73 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 31c | 10,139$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,995.78 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 9,930$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…12b3backed Yes | 70c | 9,876$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 9,685$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,804.07 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 9,662$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.78 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 68c | 8,700$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.34 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 64c | 5,600$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 68c | 5,201$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…1545backed Yes | 71c | 4,930$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 4,837$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.74 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 3,631$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.34 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…02a3backed Yes | 71c | 3,436$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 71c | 3,416$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 59c | 3,392$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 71c | 3,362$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.89 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 32c | 3,248$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.99 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 59c | 3,181$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Yes | 70c | 2,847$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 29c | 2,745$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,578$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,387$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.84 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 31c | 2,345$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 29c | 2,284$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.45 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 67c | 2,192$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 30c | 2,136$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 30c | 2,088$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.1 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…96d3backed Yes | 71c | 2,075$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 56c | 2,062$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.78 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,039$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.26 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Yes | 68c | 2,003$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 19c | 1,979$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 70c | 1,870$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 28c | 1,844$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 47c | 1,800$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 1,781$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.17 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,774$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.25 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…3129backed Yes | 68c | 1,768$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 58c | 1,703$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.14 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…f02ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 71c | 1,690$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Yes | 68c | 1,690$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 17c | 1,684$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 1,681$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.75 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,659$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Yes | 64c | 1,637$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 28c | 1,608$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.1 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,583$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 71c | 1,575$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,490$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Yes | 72c | 1,482$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed No | 28c | 1,481$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 41c | 1,465$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 29c | 1,447$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 57c | 1,414$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.96 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 68c | 1,325$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 68c | 1,288$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.06 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 31c | 1,283$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,279$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.