TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4cbb…02a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$106.58
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$678.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$1,263.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$330.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$859
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.63
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$1,629.64
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+249.9%+$49.97
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$52.76
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.9%+$1,130.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+114.3%+$342.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$849.99
LoL: Galions vs Barça eSports (BO5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$68.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$155.13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,439.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.9%+$708.01
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$218.91
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$89.74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.8%+$235.52
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+170.2%+$340.41
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$50.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$33.03
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$99.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$197
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+159.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$153.3
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$303.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.