TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked T157c7,029$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.3878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nongshim RedForce45c6,666$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.4833942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed T156c3,984$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Nongshim RedForce41c2,517$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.0710242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nongshim RedForce46c2,250$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22641734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Nongshim RedForce48c1,903$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed T13c1,875$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed T111c1,798$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9816033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed T172c1,662$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed T154c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8104438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked T158c1,382$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.836445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nongshim RedForce63c1,043$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Nongshim RedForce43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed T159c860.98$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.877445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed T119c850.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.631,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked T12c830$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed T12c830$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed T16c804$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.145831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4837…f7a0backed T19c750$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed T155c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Nongshim RedForce15c690.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.332047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked T16c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37db…dff4backed T155c403.16$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.748050%40 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed T17c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed T18c382.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.651926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nongshim RedForce40c380.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6416345.4%74 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed T155c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed T164c336.21$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.172259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed T159c333$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.479371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed T167c327.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd163…1428backed Nongshim RedForce27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked T125c296.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.246636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Nongshim RedForce46c291.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.298646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked T171c283.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim RedForce78c266.1$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed T172c265.73$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Nongshim RedForce41c251.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2210844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed T16c250.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nongshim RedForce41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Nongshim RedForce41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.94346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked T155c233$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.156048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed T160c215$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12934253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed T156c211$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce16c206.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce60c204.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Nongshim RedForce40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed T113c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Nongshim RedForce41c191.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.765048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed T154c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Nongshim RedForce40c182.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.758744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd8…1faabacked T155c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce41c170.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked T160c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed T158c162.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6263652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Nongshim RedForce40c160.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Nongshim RedForce43c158.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.818651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Nongshim RedForce53c156.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9421136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nongshim RedForce46c153$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6219943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked T154c139.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7257151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked T145c137.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4514533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Nongshim RedForce40c131.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.459737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed T160c120.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim RedForce40c114$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.460154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed T151c112.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1826932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed T154c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce37c111$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed T161c101.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0242540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed T155c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512157%69 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nongshim RedForce36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Nongshim RedForce46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Nongshim RedForce17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8323733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Nongshim RedForce28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Nongshim RedForce20c98.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9219847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533a…89aabacked T162c95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb46c…30c2backed T155c92.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.111729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked T138c87.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.011,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed T140c85.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed T122c84.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8141835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Nongshim RedForce39c83.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed T154c80.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5519337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed T141c78.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.352128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nongshim RedForce42c78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.246344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nongshim RedForce42c77.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6627145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a471backed Nongshim RedForce65c76.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Nongshim RedForce40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed T156c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.843059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked T155c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed T155c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf05…ec01backed T160c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked T139c63.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…543dbacked Nongshim RedForce48c62.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nongshim RedForce39c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.528241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Nongshim RedForce47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed T141c59.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.269722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked T174c59.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbb…02a3backed T152c57.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked T153c56.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nongshim RedForce41c54.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4423548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.