Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae50842b607a6bb39d40895e5b69f68c1d5ac23a39193b73adbe358de799209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 38,918$19,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,131.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 63c | 22,290$14,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,042.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 43c | 14,158$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.74 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 12,996$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.18 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 9,080$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,811.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 8,225$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.92 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 64c | 5,921$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 4,220$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 36c | 2,550$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 64c | 2,434$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 2,124$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.85 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 2,114$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.99 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 67c | 1,340$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,118$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.22 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 66c | 1,033$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 1,002$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.33 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…63b3backed Yes | 36c | 930.56$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked No | 65c | 923.44$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 647.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 582.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…b9e4backed Yes | 41c | 504.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 36c | 389.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 370$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 219.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 48c | 143.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 133.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 128.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed No | 40c | 125.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…7330backed Yes | 35c | 109.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 74c | 102.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 43c | 100.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…02a3backed Yes | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 37c | 67.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 63c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…2998backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…64e0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 43.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…9b17backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 35c | 36.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…9e5fbacked Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…6edebacked Yes | 62c | 22.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 67c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.