Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcc0a042195be83fcc26855ef29a0fbbcf69deb1b242abd46905a6127bf50d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 38c | 45,990$17,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,447.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 16,564$9,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,010.56 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 72c | 4,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 3,583$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.74 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 53c | 3,200$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,460$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 36c | 2,438$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.64 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 1,470$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 1,399$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.67 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 935$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 575$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 55c | 550$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 290.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 27c | 105.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd8…d57fbacked Yes | 26c | 90.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes | 25c | 88.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed No | 74c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 37c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed No | 75c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.