NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d81150d6363a71c8a5b1111ed414f5467e4fd3023e235b2eb128885a519830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,105,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,210,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,105,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Trail Blazers | 71c | 239,000$169,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,309.97 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 40c | 174,538$69,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,613.82 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 54c | 171,183$92,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,165.78 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 117,160$52,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,195.63 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 103,343$56,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,493.78 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Warriors | 44c | 80,923$35,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,683.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 72,161$33,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,793.25 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Warriors | 58c | 71,891$41,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,696.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 66,076$28,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,100.7 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 29c | 62,073$18,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,001.3 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Warriors | 57c | 57,071$32,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,347.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 42c | 54,801$22,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,909.86 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 48,727$27,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,810.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Warriors | 1c | 42,989$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 38,577$27,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,290.24 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 36,915$20,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,543.61 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 32c | 35,532$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.97 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 34,348$14,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,265.13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 33,533$15,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,772.68 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…90b7backed Warriors | 30c | 32,600$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931.02 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.92 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…8f84backed Warriors | 55c | 26,240$14,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,432.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 33c | 25,828$8,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,487.86 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 23,297$14,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,736.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…e5c9backed Warriors | 55c | 21,871$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 21,724$10,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,332.58 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…7679backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Warriors | 59c | 20,339$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Trail Blazers | 76c | 20,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 50c | 19,165$9,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 17,726$12,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.52 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 15,992$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,618.03 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 0c | 14,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.97 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 13,836$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.69 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 12,287$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,612.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…6dccbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 11,574$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors | 59c | 11,204$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,610.65 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 10,500$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 50c | 10,048$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…13ddbacked Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…d326backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 9,116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 9,059$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.49 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 40c | 8,646$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Warriors | 54c | 8,165$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 8,060$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.06 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 8,010$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.8 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…df38backed Warriors | 48c | 7,797$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 7,775$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.89 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Warriors | 53c | 7,700$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 7,202$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 6,800$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 50c | 6,702$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.74 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 6,494$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.34 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,357$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.9 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 6,337$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.39 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Warriors | 41c | 6,134$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Warriors | 38c | 5,938$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.86 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,865$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.39 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 5,772$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…d94cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 5,660$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…0df7backed Warriors | 46c | 5,456$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 5,314$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.64 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Warriors | 55c | 5,151$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 5,000$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.54 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…3172backed Warriors | 54c | 4,620$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…32a3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 4,573$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.03 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Warriors | 49c | 4,550$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.92 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 4,457$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.57 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 4,441$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.2 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Warriors | 46c | 4,345$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Warriors | 2c | 4,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 29c | 3,876$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.8 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Trail Blazers | 72c | 3,800$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,652$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.69 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 28c | 3,598$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 3,493$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.65 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Warriors | 35c | 3,250$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.09 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Warriors | 55c | 3,240$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 3,202$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Warriors | 54c | 3,000$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.49 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…8229backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,800$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…6533backed Warriors | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Warriors | 56c | 2,798$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 2,749$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.9 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Warriors | 54c | 2,719$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f7…c6b5backed Warriors | 47c | 2,700$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…f361backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 58c | 2,689$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.54 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0430backed Warriors | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.