NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23299f3d2635bd9436e8d68504dc15e39a0f3ac27b886db2c89f7bd11aa0dc7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 38,237$18,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…bd51backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 19,669$9,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,031.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…a493backed Warriors | 51c | 18,956$9,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3954backed Warriors | 51c | 15,459$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,884.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Warriors | 51c | 15,005$7,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,652.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…70f5backed Warriors | 51c | 14,188$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…15f8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 12,188$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 11,932$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…da56backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,499$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…91c7backed Warriors | 51c | 9,207$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…6e56backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 8,509$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…d146backed Warriors | 51c | 8,123$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Warriors | 51c | 7,803$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173b…baf5backed Warriors | 51c | 7,122$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…e4d1backed Warriors | 51c | 6,971$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2cd6backed Warriors | 51c | 6,368$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…8299backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…ae90backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,252$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…72e9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,037$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3aa…5044backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,602$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8139…9ee6backed Warriors | 51c | 4,390$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6982backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,320$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…3912backed Warriors | 51c | 4,228$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed Warriors | 56c | 4,057$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…a6c6backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…1e67backed Warriors | 51c | 3,902$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…d114backed Warriors | 51c | 3,644$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…929bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,315$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…a0bebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,932$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…6c36backed Warriors | 51c | 2,926$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…a6f9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,692$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…2702backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,681$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe04e…0dcdbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,418$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…3141backed Warriors | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…d2b2backed Warriors | 51c | 2,270$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…cfe7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 52c | 1,888$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.76 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…9c7ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,884$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…be3bbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,866$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…c9a5backed Warriors | 51c | 1,846$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,725$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…09a7backed Warriors | 51c | 1,571$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…56d1backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,521$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…f481backed Warriors | 51c | 1,426$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…48fdbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,339$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…0591backed Warriors | 51c | 1,168$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…5146backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,109$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…b321backed Warriors | 51c | 1,102$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77ee…2a7dbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…6764backed Warriors | 51c | 1,049$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…8f1bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 964$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Warriors | 53c | 949.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 925.85$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.42 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…6cf3backed Warriors | 51c | 877$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 749.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…1974backed Warriors | 51c | 641$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…c869backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 621$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 472$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…1e40backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…db38backed Warriors | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…a272backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 284$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…5437backed Warriors | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…a678backed Warriors | 52c | 238$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…531abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 54c | 162.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…0d27backed Warriors | 52c | 140.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 121.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 98.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…db70backed Warriors | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 53c | 41.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…6ebcbacked Warriors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Warriors | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 54c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.