NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0deacdcef4a606df20276d73588c0eadc45e6411a47eadeb735b6760744bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 5,917$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.23 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 36c | 3,211$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.46 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,691$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 2,201$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 52c | 1,188$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.19 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Over | 51c | 666$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…93a0backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…c67abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 50c | 37.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…eb70backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…1c66backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…a2c0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.