La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25240714dea6fdfa7b8afa179b309bdef63e0a4635047176efab182f4d744350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,341,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,312,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,341,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 793 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed No | 53c | 798,759$425,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372,815.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 48c | 222,286$107,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,806.1 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 46c | 155,943$71,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,893.4 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 46c | 155,614$71,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,582.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 46c | 104,323$47,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,988.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes | 47c | 95,703$44,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,980.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 46c | 90,276$41,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,526.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 88,218$43,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,675.88 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 47c | 70,213$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 47c | 51,064$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 50c | 50,903$25,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,442.39 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 46c | 49,907$22,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,957.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 47c | 45,287$21,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,237.56 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 47c | 44,000$20,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 51c | 39,775$20,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,392 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 54c | 35,600$19,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,477.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 48c | 35,580$17,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,078.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 34,507$7,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,388.01 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 31,520$16,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,659.7 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 54c | 29,741$16,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,740.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 78c | 29,530$22,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,888.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 51c | 28,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,720 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 25,047$13,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,360.31 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 51c | 24,777$12,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,107.41 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 22,943$12,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,706.91 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 21,551$11,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,485.99 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 47c | 19,920$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 18,498$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.62 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 47c | 17,128$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 54c | 16,904$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,775.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 51c | 15,674$7,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.48 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 51c | 15,260$7,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 46c | 15,202$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.89 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 15,087$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.6 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 50c | 15,014$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,507.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 13,648$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,687.52 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 54c | 13,072$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.9 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…0239backed Yes | 55c | 9,948$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 9,119$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.93 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Yes | 50c | 8,366$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 54c | 7,701$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 7,315$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 52c | 7,307$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 7,168$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.07 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 7,037$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.64 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 6,917$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.17 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 51c | 6,708$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 16c | 6,109$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.13 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 65c | 5,555$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 5,484$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.04 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked No | 51c | 5,481$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 51c | 5,419$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 51c | 5,360$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.54 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 50c | 4,872$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 65c | 4,738$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 54c | 4,718$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 43c | 4,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 72c | 4,422$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 55c | 3,759$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.77 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 33c | 3,736$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 51c | 3,424$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 17c | 3,401$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 52c | 3,387$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.98 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 52c | 3,369$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 55c | 3,192$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.77 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 47c | 3,190$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.3 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 52c | 3,175$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 48c | 3,162$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 24c | 3,113$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Yes | 34c | 3,053$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 49c | 2,887$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 2,733$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes | 8c | 2,650$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.