TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes25c57,912$14,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,625.5815034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c49,241$35,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,192.014,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No78c36,994$28,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.5113844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c16,617$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c11,320$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.682,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c11,087$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.7240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c10,890$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.1457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c5,640$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.831,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes29c5,153$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c5,112$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No72c4,272$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.162958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No76c3,915$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.734665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c3,652$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.844959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes30c3,235$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…8a28backed Yes23c2,538$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.63825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c2,046$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.531,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes38c1,814$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2660%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c1,622$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.181,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No73c1,613$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2919865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.313051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Yes16c1,139$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes3c1,125$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.889750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4187851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No72c1,041$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.488251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes38c1,001$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.577936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c995$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.859561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No58c986.95$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes29c825$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.259956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c801.55$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4548153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes26c760$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.910121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…3159backed Yes17c720.76$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes14c682.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c670.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4160832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c600.33$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c566.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c563.79$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c555.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.444452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c538.69$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No71c479.93$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c449$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No74c444$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c403.18$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c400.02$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No78c397.69$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.052080%16 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+66%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes20c396.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.710843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes17c362$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.025230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c359.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c341$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c332.08$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes21c332$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7613230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c329.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed No63c301.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes18c286.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.839931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc513…98babacked No72c282.84$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.021241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No73c282.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.199666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c276.64$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No72c265.58$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9623843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0319…2f43backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c260$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.88672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c243.66$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes29c234.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4622246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c232.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes38c226.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.076946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No71c209.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2417960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5817159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No72c199.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9913644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes13c199.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9728138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…1c51backed Yes21c180.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes30c169.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes29c168$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7214856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes24c164.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes12c158.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes9c158.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No64c157.65$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1622557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes33c152.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes11c147.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.143551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No72c144.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c143.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes39c140.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No79c132.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.756377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No73c131$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3826154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c128.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes38c128.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b2…ffa9backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…f93fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.