TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$625,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$664,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba36…7ccbbacked Rockets70c56,423$39,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,496.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pistons47c44,114$20,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,307.7747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets69c31,898$22,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,085.8785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Pistons31c30,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,7006253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Rockets63c28,015$17,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,646.8147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets53c27,691$14,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,680.7581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pistons30c24,667$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,266.6215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Pistons30c23,997$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,797.9236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Rockets60c18,688$11,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,215.335246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons30c15,242$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,720.682,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Pistons50c15,008$7,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5044037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+241.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3ef1…a81dbacked Rockets50c15,008$7,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Pistons49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.987946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons30c10,371$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,258.6969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons28c10,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.91,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons52c9,641$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.8834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pistons30c7,826$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.3435235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Rockets66c6,954$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.716446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets72c6,387$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.427038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Pistons30c5,938$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.7571052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons79c5,285$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.822,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rockets69c5,202$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.0241848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pistons40c5,100$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08234645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Rockets70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets56c4,798$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets61c3,984$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pistons28c3,624$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.1425925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Rockets68c3,600$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45020746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Rockets50c3,422$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.856428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets52c3,336$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.021,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets66c3,284$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.5144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d2…86fdbacked Rockets70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.921,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets58c2,897$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Rockets56c2,805$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.974843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons30c2,760$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets32c2,684$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons28c2,630$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Rockets39c2,351$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.278743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Rockets70c2,232$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.263050%15 W · 15 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d94…3617backed Pistons44c2,119$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons31c2,050$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets41c2,017$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.471,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pistons48c1,845$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons30c1,826$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.8795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Rockets8c1,638$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3819249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Rockets63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pistons22c1,500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rockets71c1,489$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05519748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pistons34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5929037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Rockets69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockets62c1,433$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.3659743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d1…f3a9backed Rockets70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Rockets70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018764.7%121 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Rockets55c1,419$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.616145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfb…deb3backed Rockets66c1,402$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9725…2365backed Rockets74c1,380$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.43259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Pistons30c1,305$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.7430053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Pistons30c1,300$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9102520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x460e…2efbbacked Pistons31c1,284$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…5930backed Rockets70c1,283$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets3c1,270$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.258783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets1c1,261$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.115502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Rockets64c1,226$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.2513042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pistons31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82814358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pistons28c1,140$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.3147535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Rockets70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.112147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69027547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Pistons25c1,000$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7322845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Pistons31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6909042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Pistons40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60015547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pistons30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Pistons24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.993511.4%4 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48f2…5823backed Pistons31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.745444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons30c900.2$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.423,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Pistons43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5132733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Rockets56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Rockets69c799.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5529855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Pistons67c776.37$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.210156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Pistons42c713.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0310235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe286…7735backed Rockets71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets53c700$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.41,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Rockets60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205728.1%16 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pistons31c700$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48318047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Rockets54c700$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.28036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Pistons28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50412143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Rockets51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3573933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pistons31c690.8$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6512160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Pistons46c649.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.722650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Pistons29c647.83$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.964553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Pistons31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.162821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons43c630.64$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.641,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Rockets48c630.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.910431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10a…7ee7backed Pistons33c605.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pistons50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Pistons33c599.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2134942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pistons30c593.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7524634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Rockets34c590$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.62828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.