Token Launches · resolved market
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea5173f151792a2056f7c799a4a7a33b0fca77c2048cfc9adbb2e87ba81631d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,477,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,709,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,477,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 2c | 795,428$13,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,516.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 1c | 378,643$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.12 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…a51fbacked No | 1c | 369,348$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…8ea6backed No | 0c | 161,378$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed No | 17c | 136,968$23,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,810.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 10c | 116,171$11,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,993.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed No | 6c | 112,417$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,302.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed No | 6c | 108,705$6,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,718.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…3c94backed No | 10c | 101,780$10,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,588.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…d254backed No | 23c | 93,358$21,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,735.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 72,998$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4edabacked No | 0c | 59,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…7207backed No | 20c | 50,671$9,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,938.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed No | 1c | 50,257$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…f45bbacked No | 0c | 49,970$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…49d0backed No | 0c | 49,856$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 4c | 49,597$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.03 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 49,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…ea39backed No | 0c | 48,249$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +316.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 6c | 45,248$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.86 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked No | 7c | 41,653$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 8c | 40,522$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…7a10backed No | 1c | 39,827$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 16c | 39,476$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,136.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…0752backed No | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…ea5dbacked No | 0c | 35,635$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…fb62backed No | 15c | 34,787$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Yes | 72c | 32,679$23,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…9f04backed No | 0c | 32,250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 10c | 32,224$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab0…74a5backed No | 0c | 29,883$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked No | 16c | 25,974$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed No | 4c | 25,409$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Yes | 74c | 24,281$17,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…78bbbacked No | 17c | 22,318$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 5c | 22,000$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed No | 1c | 21,769$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…5ef1backed No | 14c | 21,079$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 30c | 20,660$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…cc07backed No | 3c | 20,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…8920backed No | 16c | 19,326$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…1f15backed No | 11c | 18,550$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed No | 25c | 17,800$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed No | 13c | 17,000$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…7b9abacked No | 12c | 16,714$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…5093backed No | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b566backed No | 4c | 15,898$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 8c | 15,723$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 11c | 15,420$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…3331backed No | 0c | 14,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…8be4backed No | 4c | 14,310$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…ad5abacked No | 18c | 14,055$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked No | 7c | 13,906$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…1516backed Yes | 79c | 13,390$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed No | 11c | 13,031$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.04 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 15c | 12,136$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.13 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed No | 17c | 11,909$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 10c | 11,848$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.07 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed No | 9c | 11,788$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 9c | 11,500$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 12c | 11,427$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.48 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bfd9backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 10,468$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.26 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 14c | 10,422$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.67 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…d6aabacked No | 0c | 10,380$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…7508backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741f…36d1backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…2843backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…fef5backed No | 0c | 10,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…b1febacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…5004backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…e836backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…05c3backed No | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked No | 15c | 10,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 2c | 9,995$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…4354backed No | 30c | 9,905$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…c4dbbacked No | 6c | 9,805$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 15c | 9,496$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked No | 19c | 9,448$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 10c | 8,833$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…36cbbacked No | 0c | 8,339$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 24c | 8,258$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 7c | 8,194$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 8,042$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed No | 1c | 8,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 2c | 7,956$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…6236backed No | 11c | 7,833$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.97 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…bfcabacked No | 1c | 7,756$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 10c | 7,738$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…ca87backed No | 12c | 7,529$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…49b9backed No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…b2d3backed No | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d20…4843backed No | 14c | 7,385$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…a925backed No | 0c | 7,098$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…88b8backed Yes | 78c | 6,625$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…cb3abacked Yes | 75c | 6,552$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0c1bbacked No | 15c | 6,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 8c | 6,421$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.