TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$982,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,070,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks0c124,930$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons76c70,000$53,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,80017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks24c39,259$9,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,310.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pistons75c38,029$28,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,507.2520253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks1c36,969$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.991,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks24c34,733$8,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,335.81,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons77c28,489$21,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,553.0837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks12c27,717$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.844,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks23c25,046$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.4770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons77c25,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,75038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Bucks25c20,037$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pistons75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Bucks25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks25c20,000$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.0119150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks23c19,735$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks3c16,985$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.871,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bucks3c16,653$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.637930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c16,180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.688820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks24c14,817$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks18c13,449$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons77c12,967$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.9134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks24c11,837$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.9844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bucks6c10,710$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Pistons77c10,523$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.978744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks9c10,087$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.951,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Bucks25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pistons76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Pistons77c7,002$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks24c6,116$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.131,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Bucks23c5,011$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Bucks21c5,000$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0363357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Pistons75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks15c4,981$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bucks23c4,748$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09227848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks25c4,565$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.1826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bucks24c4,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7443…e010backed Pistons76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pistons77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.11,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Pistons78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.1514639.7%58 W · 88 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks19c3,608$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks0c3,602$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.677211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Bucks0c3,601$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.335932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Bucks24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9228850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Bucks23c3,263$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.075251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pistons76c3,260$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77543247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks25c3,071$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.8869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons76c3,039$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.092,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2218…5ba2backed Bucks24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bucks0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.557502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons76c2,902$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.2144648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks15c2,883$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Bucks21c2,858$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons76c2,815$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.5861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed Bucks1c2,495$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+1,930.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3871…2a0cbacked Bucks11c2,383$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Bucks21c2,379$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.675815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons76c2,300$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.411,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Pistons77c2,300$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52913345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Pistons78c2,285$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0116750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Pistons75c2,216$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.2715945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bucks23c2,202$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.022,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks25c2,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Bucks23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Pistons79c2,158$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8713558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda96…7d56backed Pistons78c2,136$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bucks24c2,114$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.461,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Bucks24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Pistons78c2,051$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Pistons77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Pistons78c1,846$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3723043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bucks1c1,753$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks22c1,735$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf58…d161backed Pistons76c1,707$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks15c1,656$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.71,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Pistons76c1,649$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2119144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Bucks24c1,600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Bucks25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Pistons79c1,553$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3818452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Bucks15c1,550$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.516540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Bucks25c1,527$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed Bucks18c1,520$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.552544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x866a…5275backed Bucks7c1,517$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Pistons79c1,500$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6131347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Bucks10c1,484$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e3…81f7backed Pistons78c1,412$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.374847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c85…f893backed Bucks23c1,400$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5442…6fa7backed Pistons77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299c…3ae7backed Bucks13c1,389$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.78911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons76c1,350$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.11,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Pistons76c1,310$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.99953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pistons76c1,300$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1324330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Pistons77c1,286$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7118556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks13c1,246$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks23c1,235$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.