NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x292dd7538282d774b86af30b7f318d08760579143bee42c38034bf418b98a45e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 51c | 22,101$11,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,829.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Under | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 14,347$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Over | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Under | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 52c | 628$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 49c | 500.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 309.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…f786backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 51c | 150.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Over | 51c | 148.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 38c | 94.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…fdebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 71.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 70.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 52c | 70.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 57.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 55c | 36.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 31.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 52c | 26.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 52c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…044dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5this page
- Pistons vs. BucksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.