NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547828b80e335831ac5bc1830a7fa29a2df512de3b80a139b4b374af4f6924c4

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved: Nov 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $492,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $494,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,284 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Pistons	50c	357,662$178,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179,159.76	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bucks	50c	139,210$69,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,572.92	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks	51c	90,000$45,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,500	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks	50c	80,000$40,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,000	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	50c	29,099$14,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,594.68	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons	50c	28,685$14,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,369.67	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,750	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Bucks	51c	20,781$10,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,700	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Bucks	50c	17,134$8,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,567	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	50c	11,102$5,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,504.23	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bucks	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks	51c	10,000$5,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,139.94	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks	50c	6,436$3,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,218	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons	49c	4,500$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Pistons	50c	4,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Pistons	50c	3,333$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.5	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bucks	51c	3,035$1,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,547.87	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913a…f556backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Bucks	51c	2,740$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.4	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pistons	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Pistons	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	49c	1,881$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958.97	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bucks	49c	1,628$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.04	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pistons	57c	1,441$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.17	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	50c	1,221$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.27	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bucks	50c	1,158$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.25	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Bucks	53c	1,075$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Pistons	50c	1,002$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.14	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	48c	961$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons	75c	863.28$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.48	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Pistons	51c	776.97$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.97	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks	52c	762.66$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Bucks	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons	49c	714$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.14	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Bucks	44c	656.37$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.17	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Pistons	47c	560$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298	204	34.8%71 W · 133 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Pistons	48c	525.5$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.26	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bucks	52c	473.73$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.34	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Pistons	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Pistons	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Pistons	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks	51c	392$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6c…e935backed Bucks	60c	336.84$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.34	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Pistons	52c	325.47$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.07	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Pistons	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons	52c	257.67$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.71	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a83…09f0backed Pistons	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Pistons	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Bucks	48c	208.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	136	44.9%61 W · 75 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Bucks	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Pistons	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pistons	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pistons	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Pistons	48c	199.98$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Bucks	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Pistons	51c	172.55$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.55	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	48c	170$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Bucks	48c	160.27$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.93	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	-19.1wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks	46c	158.7$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons	51c	154.22$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.57	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons	49c	153.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.06	304	54.9%167 W · 137 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Pistons	47c	149.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.49	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	44c	134.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Pistons	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Pistons	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Pistons	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Pistons	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	204	44.6%91 W · 113 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Pistons	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Pistons	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Pistons	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Pistons	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Pistons	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Pistons	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Pistons	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	133	58.6%78 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Pistons	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc2…d923backed Pistons	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Pistons	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Pistons	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons	54c	92.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.69	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Pistons	50c	84.9$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Bucks	50c	81.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.39	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons	50c	80.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.1	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Pistons	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	224	67.9%152 W · 72 L	+13.8wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bucks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Pistons	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons	50c	71.4$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Pistons	51c	70.59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Pistons	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4f…3ae6backed Bucks	50c	69.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	244	29.1%71 W · 173 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks	48c	67.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3646…4d91backed Pistons	53c	66.04$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.04	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a2…0c1abacked Pistons	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event