NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691222542c6600005cf30c984be7949b747b08273ce481b53b251b59722cb3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 39c | 178,458$68,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,494.51 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 61c | 104,117$63,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,960.81 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Panthers | 62c | 72,626$44,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,904.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 38c | 33,688$12,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,825.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 38c | 13,170$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.4 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 61c | 10,500$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 38c | 9,383$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,819.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 77c | 9,355$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.52 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 62c | 9,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…5cc0backed Panthers | 61c | 5,851$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6daabacked Flyers | 39c | 5,846$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Panthers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flyers | 23c | 4,479$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.77 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 78c | 4,447$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.33 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 62c | 4,158$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.94 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Flyers | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers | 61c | 3,934$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.74 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Flyers | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.13 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 38c | 3,016$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 61c | 2,556$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.16 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 60c | 2,540$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.04 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Flyers | 47c | 2,149$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.29 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers | 62c | 2,120$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.39 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Flyers | 38c | 2,087$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 38c | 2,078$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.19 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 61c | 2,071$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.02 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Flyers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 39c | 2,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Panthers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Flyers | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.95 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.85 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 61c | 1,949$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Panthers | 62c | 1,781$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Flyers | 38c | 1,692$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 40c | 1,593$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.2 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 38c | 1,497$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.48 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers | 58c | 1,301$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.75 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Panthers | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Flyers | 38c | 1,237$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.84 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 37c | 1,200$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.95 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Flyers | 48c | 1,118$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.42 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Panthers | 63c | 1,067$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 61c | 1,049$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.3 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Flyers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Panthers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flyers | 9c | 999$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.41 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Panthers | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 57c | 922.69$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.17 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 56c | 874.35$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panthers | 62c | 865.7$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.73 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 34c | 855.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 39c | 812.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Flyers | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Panthers | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Panthers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Flyers | 33c | 776$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.12 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flyers | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 62c | 707$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 38c | 686$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Panthers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 61c | 617.66$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 60c | 600$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…b96bbacked Flyers | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…4f54backed Panthers | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 27c | 554.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 74c | 533$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.33 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flyers | 38c | 525$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Panthers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Flyers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Panthers | 62c | 455.74$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.12 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Panthers | 63c | 439$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Panthers | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Flyers | 38c | 399.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Panthers | 65c | 390$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Panthers | 62c | 377.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 61c | 370.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Panthers | 62c | 364.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…db07backed Flyers | 39c | 361.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…c3ddbacked Panthers | 62c | 354.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flyers | 38c | 326.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d12backed Flyers | 38c | 315.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Flyers | 38c | 315$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Flyers | 38c | 313.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…fb95backed Panthers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…83aabacked Panthers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4a17backed Flyers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…9187backed Panthers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…76b5backed Panthers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…adeebacked Panthers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…e72fbacked Flyers | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Panthersthis page
- Flyers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.