TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c7,035$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No77c3,302$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c2,410$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c2,152$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No75c1,393$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes12c1,272$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c1,209$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes28c1,084$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes26c1,020$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes18c887.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7122458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes27c808.04$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.481346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No72c732.62$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1320448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…dae2backed No73c720.55$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No73c699.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes28c680.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4217744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a8…aec0backed No73c598.63$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes20c594.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes24c568.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.331040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05bc…2c3cbacked No73c556.16$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Yes6c536$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d12backed Yes28c534.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No73c452.38$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.145431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes25c413.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c374.91$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.971,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes34c314.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.813839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c303.57$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c267$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.221,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c263$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c250$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc706…faedbacked No73c249.32$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cb…797abacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes28c217.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8af…da0dbacked Yes27c211.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes29c209.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+171.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes27c187.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.69238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes35c173.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8412954.3%70 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes9c163.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0630739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes14c162.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes28c143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0414945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed No79c136.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.224847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes36c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f7…f247backed No73c127.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…06cfbacked No73c126.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes28c122$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9611945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c0d…f056backed No73c120.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b86…b51cbacked Yes35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes26c112$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes27c107.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295048%24 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x127e…656dbacked No73c105.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes28c105$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c104.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.322,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2365…af90backed No73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes19c92.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…b6f1backed Yes27c91.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ff…f283backed No73c89.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5d…f4e1backed No73c86.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No72c82.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2f…0adcbacked No73c80.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes17c80.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5313249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.622764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2260%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No73c76.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No73c75.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…eb6abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes27c73.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1708…bffebacked No73c72.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No73c71.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…3f61backed No73c71.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa99e…28fbbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cc…84d8backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe928…e0fdbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…0436backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No76c68.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45959.3%35 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes27c66.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.