Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54324356dd4d647e82242d33dc1ff1cb09ccfb2dc127edeeec80f9aa42b7c725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked No | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,999.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 42c | 41,702$17,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,514.73 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 43c | 25,999$11,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,179.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 41c | 16,967$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.54 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 54c | 14,779$7,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 13,998$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 12,021$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.99 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 58c | 9,511$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.29 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 8,523$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.16 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 6,906$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.91 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 43c | 6,608$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.56 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 4,176$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.65 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,806$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Yes | 41c | 3,750$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 5c | 3,417$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 46c | 2,948$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.6 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 43c | 2,843$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 21c | 2,650$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 2,495$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 2,432$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.47 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 1,901$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.95 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…627abacked No | 57c | 1,900$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,871$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.72 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 44c | 1,772$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 42c | 1,710$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.2 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,681$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,578$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.46 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…5a7abacked Yes | 46c | 1,575$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 1,527$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,461$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 1,446$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.79 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 43c | 1,433$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.19 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 65c | 1,391$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.77 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 71c | 1,348$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.46 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 56c | 1,344$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.9 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,340$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 1,218$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 57c | 1,211$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.87 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 55c | 1,176$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.36 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 43c | 1,098$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.27 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ad88backed Yes | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.2 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 912.59$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…ae39backed Yes | 5c | 900$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed No | 41c | 895.01$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…c908backed Yes | 46c | 830$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 45c | 799.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.92 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…840fbacked No | 54c | 771$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 2c | 770$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 735.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 709.48$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.55 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 701.88$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 65c | 700$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 43c | 695.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 43c | 663.13$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.68 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 46c | 660.7$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 10c | 615.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…cf3dbacked Yes | 42c | 587$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed No | 54c | 562$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 42c | 523.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Yes | 42c | 522.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…598dbacked Yes | 42c | 469$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 57c | 432.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…b51cbacked Yes | 75c | 414.01$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 43c | 412.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 381.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 44c | 380.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 56c | 355.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 54c | 349.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 42c | 330.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 326.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 318.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 56c | 317.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
- Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.