Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d59b24402d41e79716243a3c82eeba02efe0f113ae9d620bddad4e8aca6a636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 50,407$14,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,235.7 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 29c | 19,230$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,653.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 71c | 17,701$12,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,601.45 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 16,621$12,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,894.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 71c | 14,276$10,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,136.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 11,054$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 10,015$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 8,896$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.02 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.67 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 55c | 6,491$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.03 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes | 31c | 6,286$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 72c | 5,603$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 71c | 5,500$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 4,919$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.49 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 4,860$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 71c | 4,558$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.85 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,500$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.96 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 4,271$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.53 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 26c | 4,039$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Yes | 29c | 3,959$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +289.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 31c | 3,501$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 3,144$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.82 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 7c | 3,102$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.01 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 3,039$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.28 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 72c | 2,400$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 36c | 2,316$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 29c | 2,312$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.07 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 2,118$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 1,965$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.04 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 26c | 1,843$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 1,803$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.18 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 1,798$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 28c | 1,779$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.66 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 1,700$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.86 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 1,642$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.3 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 21c | 1,459$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.89 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 27c | 1,456$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.21 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…fd89backed Yes | 27c | 1,344$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 72c | 1,212$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.64 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 66c | 1,131$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.74 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.03 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 1,124$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,117$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 1,077$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.06 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 1,045$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,030$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.81 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 72c | 1,028$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.21 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 71c | 1,007$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes | 66c | 1,003$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 23c | 999.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.34 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 29c | 826.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 79c | 799.87$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 70c | 773.04$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.13 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…78abbacked No | 73c | 748$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 743.86$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.58 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 72c | 703.73$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 73c | 699.97$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 45c | 675$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Yes | 30c | 666.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 27c | 630.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 16c | 623.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 65c | 615.48$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 72c | 614.65$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…8fc8backed Yes | 23c | 607.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Yes | 28c | 545.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 31c | 490.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…89e9backed No | 73c | 490$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 30c | 459.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 28c | 446.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed Yes | 65c | 430.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 423$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…b786backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 393.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.71 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 71c | 389.55$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 29c | 376.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed No | 73c | 373$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed No | 5c | 370.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 72c | 369.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 28c | 349.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.