TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Timberwolves, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,268,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,300,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,268,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns47c79,233$37,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,059.651,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Timberwolves61c53,191$32,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,446.335151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Timberwolves61c32,000$19,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,519.953234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Timberwolves29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.995250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves68c29,572$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Suns34c26,695$8,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,71948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Suns35c22,220$7,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,410.626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Suns39c22,012$8,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,427.562,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves62c21,003$12,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,997.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Timberwolves63c19,721$12,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,424.226253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns37c17,579$6,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,075.0272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Suns55c16,745$9,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,539.9448448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves61c14,539$8,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,907.732,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves70c10,854$7,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.681,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Suns19c10,595$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,603.0180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Suns39c10,256$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.166352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Suns37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9715841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.9138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9105…97f2backed Suns29c9,875$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,980.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns47c9,795$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.631,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Suns1c9,467$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,332.6164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves63c8,203$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Timberwolves1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9837930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns47c7,397$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Suns38c7,000$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,309.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Suns36c7,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.995350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b19…98f5backed Suns37c6,608$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.952725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns59c6,533$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Suns39c6,061$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.124344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Suns38c5,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3853145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Suns37c5,367$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.2120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ee…05a7backed Suns39c5,325$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns40c5,126$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Timberwolves36c5,100$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8264429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Suns2c4,977$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.5125925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Suns39c4,969$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.963246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Suns39c4,564$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.319256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Suns8c4,486$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.4125016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…38cebacked Timberwolves63c4,440$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.21040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves61c4,414$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.8144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns37c4,100$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.9461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Timberwolves31c4,065$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2703259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Suns39c4,046$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.0762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns12c4,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5201,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves60c4,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.9939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Timberwolves77c3,845$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.457561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Timberwolves63c3,808$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3997142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Timberwolves64c3,785$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.643051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Suns41c3,565$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.476058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Suns37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves12c3,250$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves61c3,146$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Suns31c3,104$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.551,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Suns38c3,020$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.6633146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8304,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Suns38c2,961$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.522951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Suns17c2,908$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.220851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Suns50c2,902$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.7947134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns39c2,887$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.7648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Timberwolves63c2,884$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.2822449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b18…5055backed Timberwolves72c2,874$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0255…f78ebacked Suns38c2,800$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce5…1e93backed Timberwolves62c2,800$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Timberwolves43c2,796$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Suns37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.731044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Suns38c2,679$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.7644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Suns69c2,592$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.594645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves61c2,540$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.135547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Suns37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Suns15c2,459$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.2223043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves65c2,417$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns70c2,415$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.292,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Timberwolves63c2,378$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns40c2,341$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.3669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves61c2,332$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Suns39c2,299$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.391,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Suns37c2,279$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.8516243.8%71 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Suns53c2,135$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.256744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns30c2,112$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.251,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Suns39c2,093$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.7895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns20c2,080$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.613,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns45c2,066$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.8659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Suns38c2,000$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.381,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Suns71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5807957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Suns38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24011649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…0789backed Timberwolves62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Suns37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9819441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Suns38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9843247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Suns24c1,998$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.0850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Suns32c1,960$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.122437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns39c1,888$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.671,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Suns38c1,866$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.2515945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Suns29c1,832$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.9213446.3%62 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Timberwolves61c1,815$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10725554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.