NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c6ecc0beb474e63c808add236481e47a6630c3b32f8c442a41986f718e9afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 8,301$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 6,430$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.19 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Over | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.2 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 590.2$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 427$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 52c | 386.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 284.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 54c | 283.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 54c | 283.72$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 45c | 260.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Over | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…2c4ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Over | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…17bbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…be30backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Over | 47c | 78.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…84fdbacked Over | 53c | 56.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…cd69backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 46c | 39.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…0decbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 53c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…2f33backed Over | 54c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Suns won
- Timberwolves vs. SunsSuns won
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.