Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772b014f1f252bcbaf8bb9a455aa26591fe42982b4ef69468bb45ebbd768e166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 67c | 13,923$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…8cc8backed No | 68c | 5,200$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 23c | 3,703$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.3 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 49c | 3,069$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.9 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,397$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 23c | 2,216$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.8 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 1,872$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.14 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 1,637$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…d76cbacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 11c | 1,000$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.22 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 68c | 969.23$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed No | 69c | 820.19$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 816.13$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 759.8$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 34c | 705.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 532.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…6abebacked No | 68c | 504.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 405.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 324.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 59c | 255.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…a981backed Yes | 20c | 250.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 77c | 212.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 7c | 208$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 67c | 187.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…ee3dbacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 69c | 154$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 32c | 144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 28c | 141.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…e934backed Yes | 28c | 117.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 68c | 112.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…8324backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 32c | 93.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 58c | 85.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…9e81backed Yes | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 70.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…b195backed Yes | 78c | 70.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 33c | 65.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 55c | 54.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…033bbacked Yes | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…2149backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…a363backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 66c | 26.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…fd01backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…482abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.