TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No61c108,703$66,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,111.2311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No63c40,000$25,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,956.8610952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes39c34,358$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes39c15,015$5,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,867.035538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c14,466$5,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,343.652,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c10,174$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.3124657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes38c8,300$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15416045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes38c7,885$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.449651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes38c7,777$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes39c7,725$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.612339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c6,948$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.895052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes32c5,921$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3929backed Yes38c5,700$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be5…e1ccbacked No62c5,700$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes30c5,454$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9505761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes39c4,724$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes38c3,766$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.462751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes34c3,516$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.057945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes38c3,137$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.7416154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes40c2,940$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.4724939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes38c2,629$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes37c2,314$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.3411832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes38c2,190$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.9433357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c1,703$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.2241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No63c1,599$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes39c1,205$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.872245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe581…8a4ebacked Yes20c1,188$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes39c1,019$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c1,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2932843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c900$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes40c787.4$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.962128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c767$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79e8…1969backed Yes13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+119.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Yes40c747.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes15c710.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No62c650$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c613.18$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes39c594.87$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes16c590$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.323735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes39c561.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.928334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c518.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes40c512.5$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes39c509.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes26c500.15$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c464.92$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6222551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c461.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes39c458.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes38c450.63$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7312649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes39c420.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16412565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes40c413.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes21c399.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.923030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes32c391.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1277147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes30c391.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…08d8backed Yes30c381$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes39c380.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes22c360$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.64126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e84…1ab4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ba…9fbcbacked No62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…225ebacked Yes39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes8c350$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes19c338.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes31c295.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes38c287.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8512923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes41c277.23$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f41…f6debacked Yes12c270.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes40c270.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3067…b8e5backed Yes37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes39c253.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcf…0321backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…6f8cbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes40c249.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes40c235.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.29953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes40c223.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes39c214.36$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.62356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes40c192.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43be…bddfbacked Yes23c177.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…a73fbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…89babacked No61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes31c169.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.012259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd98a…6bb7backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2915357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes39c154.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2705…9096backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.