Us Midterms · resolved market
Democratic sweep?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1ee3d926fe8fd697485c6a057484a5814f3c02533f0490869fa4ca75abaded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,047,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,071,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 15c | 77,620$11,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,397.69 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 24c | 59,475$14,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,470.18 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…2e3cbacked No | 21c | 54,667$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 19c | 49,428$9,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,547.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 16c | 46,753$7,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,676.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 24c | 37,150$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 16c | 32,232$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked Yes | 77c | 31,760$24,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed No | 11c | 26,502$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 79c | 22,785$17,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed No | 20c | 17,757$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…73bebacked No | 19c | 15,968$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 75c | 15,449$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed No | 12c | 15,000$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…9e5bbacked No | 10c | 14,943$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…212cbacked No | 1c | 13,343$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349f…37d1backed No | 1c | 12,456$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 10,528$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.4 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…4291backed No | 20c | 10,000$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 80c | 9,148$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…eec9backed No | 1c | 8,926$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…64eebacked No | 17c | 8,824$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed No | 18c | 8,333$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 16c | 8,099$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 7,816$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.94 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 4c | 7,800$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…41a1backed No | 24c | 7,511$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 10c | 7,422$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.64 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 79c | 7,331$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 22c | 7,000$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 80c | 6,937$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 8c | 6,753$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…82e5backed No | 0c | 6,709$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 28c | 6,020$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…89e0backed No | 26c | 5,633$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 4,600$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.91 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 17c | 4,413$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed No | 20c | 4,100$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 18c | 3,999$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…fabfbacked Yes | 79c | 3,770$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…68a2backed No | 15c | 3,320$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 18c | 3,184$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.96 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked No | 19c | 3,091$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 80c | 3,040$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 77c | 2,931$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…08efbacked No | 15c | 2,853$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 21c | 2,840$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…00f8backed No | 0c | 2,830$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 76c | 2,818$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 2,618$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 76c | 2,615$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 22c | 2,253$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.27 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 18c | 2,126$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…c705backed No | 17c | 2,102$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 16c | 2,077$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.45 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…20c8backed No | 21c | 2,008$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed No | 19c | 1,971$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 7c | 1,906$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…4d60backed No | 14c | 1,900$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…f281backed No | 6c | 1,710$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 77c | 1,665$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 80c | 1,660$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.89 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…94f0backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9d46backed No | 9c | 1,484$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 73c | 1,383$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.48 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 18c | 1,368$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Yes | 80c | 1,290$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…f6f9backed Yes | 79c | 1,243$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…f07cbacked No | 22c | 1,186$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…5b79backed No | 19c | 1,118$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…fa42backed No | 18c | 1,117$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed No | 18c | 1,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 19c | 1,071$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed No | 21c | 1,064$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…f19cbacked No | 17c | 1,035$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…c20fbacked No | 17c | 1,001$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…2604backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe614…5a2ebacked No | 19c | 973.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked No | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 19c | 921.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 3c | 880$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 21c | 829.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed No | 19c | 800$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…fb90backed No | 14c | 709.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed No | 18c | 672.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…1addbacked No | 28c | 637.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.