Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda49a81339ef7471d571a54b125dfd0e13016c31c5a90f1a6f1f19e6c35b01db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,029,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,327,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,029,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 21c | 75,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 19c | 61,317$11,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,870.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 19c | 50,532$9,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,601.03 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 49,415$8,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 37,137$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.03 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 19c | 24,327$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.13 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 22,246$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.89 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…e3d8backed No | 19c | 21,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 5c | 12,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 19c | 8,783$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.5 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 17c | 8,239$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.27 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 7,581$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 18c | 5,142$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.4 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 19c | 4,876$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.84 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 80c | 4,733$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.67 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 18c | 4,134$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.09 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 1c | 3,979$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 19c | 3,707$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 3,094$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 19c | 3,050$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 20c | 3,008$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.02 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 2,894$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.64 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 6c | 2,813$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 80c | 2,688$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 21c | 2,375$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.75 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…5b48backed Yes | 80c | 2,125$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…e902backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 1,985$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,572$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 20c | 1,481$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 18c | 1,455$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,385$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…bac9backed Yes | 80c | 1,307$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 17c | 1,264$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…d24fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 80c | 1,130$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 19c | 1,095$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…5b9cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,069$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…9d27backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 19c | 999.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 7c | 884.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 79c | 778.53$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 20c | 745$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cc…1934backed No | 19c | 705.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…00cbbacked Yes | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 18c | 697.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 79c | 690.26$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 80c | 666$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 19c | 636.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Yes | 80c | 634.16$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 21c | 630.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e43…6170backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 19c | 564$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 78c | 555.52$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed No | 19c | 499.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 19c | 467.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 78c | 457$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 18c | 430.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…7fc9backed Yes | 80c | 425$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 14c | 419.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 19c | 407.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 22c | 404$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…bd6fbacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 80c | 381.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…c1e9backed Yes | 80c | 378.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked No | 22c | 374.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 19c | 353.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 79c | 322$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…7d99backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 80c | 305.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 80c | 304.03$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…5cd0backed Yes | 80c | 301$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Georgia vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.