TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Jacksonville State vs. UTEP

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Stateof Jacksonville State, UTEP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Jacksonville State50c41,095$20,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,547.5512549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed UTEP51c21,758$10,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,995.9611846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed UTEP50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5007545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jacksonville State49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed UTEP49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.987944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Jacksonville State49c8,888$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.882065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed UTEP51c8,734$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.235440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed UTEP51c8,500$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State51c8,174$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.92,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jacksonville State63c7,511$4,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.0762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Jacksonville State67c7,452$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed UTEP37c7,234$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.7786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed UTEP50c5,109$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.7415451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Jacksonville State51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State75c4,540$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.1940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed UTEP50c3,936$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed UTEP50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed UTEP49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UTEP39c3,126$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.2619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jacksonville State60c3,063$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.627648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed UTEP50c2,869$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.221348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Jacksonville State49c2,848$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.632759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed UTEP50c2,846$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed UTEP25c2,639$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0585947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jacksonville State49c2,010$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2214752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Jacksonville State51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.1111844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville State51c1,961$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.8429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Jacksonville State54c1,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.687146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed UTEP50c1,790$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jacksonville State50c1,522$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.61,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed UTEP50c1,504$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.926842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked UTEP50c1,489$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…febebacked UTEP49c1,453$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed UTEP49c1,311$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.3910046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State73c1,251$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7798…865bbacked UTEP50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa56e…9d30backed Jacksonville State51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Jacksonville State71c1,109$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6810555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Jacksonville State51c1,075$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.658043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State66c1,002$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e2…eb4abacked Jacksonville State51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed UTEP50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville State63c844.75$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed UTEP29c800$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.45837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Jacksonville State75c784.15$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked UTEP49c594.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2575651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jacksonville State62c586.66$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.115060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jacksonville State49c577.83$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4725629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked UTEP50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.56949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed UTEP23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State73c430$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville State74c415$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked UTEP49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe651…8764backed Jacksonville State50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed Jacksonville State51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1610347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed UTEP54c368.96$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Jacksonville State76c336$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.362955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jacksonville State68c330$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7720553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf416…9e4fbacked Jacksonville State50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9987…fa43backed UTEP50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf35…d605backed Jacksonville State50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d14…cc94backed UTEP50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b2…bc2cbacked UTEP50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…584fbacked Jacksonville State50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed UTEP51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.616847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked UTEP7c209.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed UTEP48c209.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.629540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville State49c208$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8954243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…4366backed UTEP50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed UTEP50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed UTEP50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed UTEP38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed UTEP49c199.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.986241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca1…00a5backed Jacksonville State50c199$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Jacksonville State52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f9…843ebacked Jacksonville State50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9723…07f6backed UTEP50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb16b…40d5backed UTEP50c187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x868f…3bb6backed Jacksonville State51c186$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bac…2cf7backed Jacksonville State51c179$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…be33backed UTEP50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Jacksonville State49c177.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4621629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Jacksonville State77c176.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Jacksonville State74c175$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.757856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jacksonville State58c169.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1739847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed UTEP13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked UTEP49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed UTEP51c149.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2416635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed UTEP50c136.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.656959.4%41 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…ae92backed UTEP40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed UTEP28c110.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7826939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Jacksonville State51c110.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.994872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b7…9155backed Jacksonville State77c103.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed UTEP37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3747331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed UTEP49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497335.6%26 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked UTEP49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed UTEP49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fe…ace3backed Jacksonville State49c83.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Jacksonville State48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked UTEP32c70.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4225819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.