NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87794de55b58fdeb94b4ac5151b962fe73afc1aad6b44fc780b30ce79fcc4c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Colts, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,912,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,688,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,912,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 40c | 787,291$316,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470,953.63 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Colts | 63c | 350,000$220,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,499.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Colts | 60c | 249,950$149,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,970 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Steelers | 37c | 245,229$90,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,451.36 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Colts | 0c | 223,649$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Colts | 16c | 126,860$20,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,186.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Colts | 60c | 100,000$59,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Steelers | 38c | 84,681$32,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,502.34 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 5c | 82,141$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.62 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Steelers | 39c | 77,000$30,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,970 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colts | 63c | 73,290$45,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,909.06 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 56c | 61,960$34,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,508.46 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers | 38c | 58,155$21,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,192.97 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Steelers | 38c | 55,089$20,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,155.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Colts | 61c | 51,019$31,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,064.75 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Colts | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colts | 3c | 46,773$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.14 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Colts | 6c | 45,955$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.5 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Colts | 62c | 45,000$27,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,900 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Colts | 61c | 43,700$26,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,580 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 60c | 42,963$25,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,645.17 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colts | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Steelers | 68c | 34,592$23,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,082.92 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 36c | 34,070$12,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,144.25 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Colts | 72c | 32,124$23,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,196.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Steelers | 38c | 32,000$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,780 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…64a0backed Colts | 62c | 29,805$18,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,552.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Colts | 61c | 25,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 37c | 21,913$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 60c | 20,798$12,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,478.8 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Colts | 23c | 20,115$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…d15abacked Colts | 0c | 20,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Steelers | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.98 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 37c | 18,947$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,974.91 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Steelers | 50c | 16,964$8,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.78 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185e…7af6backed Colts | 1c | 16,846$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Colts | 0c | 12,372$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Colts | 16c | 12,025$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.52 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Steelers | 40c | 11,494$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 38c | 11,287$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.99 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Steelers | 46c | 10,797$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.15 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Steelers | 37c | 10,777$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.47 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Steelers | 39c | 10,728$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 2c | 10,525$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Steelers | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Steelers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Colts | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Steelers | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.83 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Steelers | 67c | 9,600$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Colts | 38c | 8,514$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.74 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Colts | 1c | 8,219$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Colts | 0c | 7,915$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Steelers | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.31 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Colts | 60c | 7,000$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…7924backed Colts | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Colts | 53c | 6,291$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Colts | 63c | 6,032$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Colts | 61c | 6,000$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Steelers | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Colts | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Steelers | 74c | 5,442$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.71 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Steelers | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Colts | 61c | 5,328$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Colts | 62c | 5,210$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Colts | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Colts | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Colts | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.97 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Steelers | 67c | 4,800$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Colts | 1c | 4,590$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Steelers | 65c | 4,554$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.32 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Steelers | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 55c | 4,402$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.09 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Colts | 61c | 4,221$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.79 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Colts | 62c | 4,202$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Colts | 63c | 4,099$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Colts | 63c | 4,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Colts | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Colts | 33c | 3,696$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Steelers | 33c | 3,654$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.96 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Colts | 1c | 3,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…19afbacked Colts | 47c | 3,399$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Steelers | 38c | 3,347$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Steelers | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Steelers | 36c | 2,623$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Steelers | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…83ebbacked Colts | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Colts | 63c | 2,302$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Steelers | 65c | 2,141$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.91 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Colts | 70c | 2,134$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colts | 15c | 2,127$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Colts | 61c | 2,118$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Steelers | 25c | 2,036$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 1c | 2,030$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers | 37c | 2,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.03 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Colts | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed Colts | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Colts | 60c | 1,998$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Colts | 4c | 1,975$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Colts | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Steelersthis page
- Colts vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 50.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Colts (-2.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)Steelers won
- Steelers Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.