NFL · resolved market
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e07779fa32d03d031b0cd6a0cbca09e1749fe6b5bfa2b547c0ed770fb770f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Colts, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 48c | 155,705$75,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,465.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Steelers | 52c | 64,580$33,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,998.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 48c | 53,406$25,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,641.63 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Steelers | 53c | 44,962$23,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,132.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 53c | 40,884$21,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,217.25 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Steelers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.98 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Steelers | 52c | 20,397$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.7 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Colts | 47c | 19,708$9,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,262.73 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Steelers | 51c | 16,615$8,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.76 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Colts | 49c | 15,040$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 46c | 14,367$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.49 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers | 54c | 11,916$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510.46 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Colts | 50c | 10,004$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 51c | 6,808$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.25 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 45c | 6,676$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Colts | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colts | 47c | 4,251$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.1 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Colts | 49c | 4,213$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Steelers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers | 50c | 3,961$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.89 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 54c | 3,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.31 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Steelers | 53c | 3,370$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.1 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 45c | 2,227$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Colts | 46c | 2,153$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Steelers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.89 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,366$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.29 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked Colts | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…e8e6backed Steelers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Colts | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Colts | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…726abacked Colts | 47c | 1,005$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Steelers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Steelers | 54c | 842.84$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.43 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Colts | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Colts | 48c | 814.17$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Colts | 45c | 788.65$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.89 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Steelers | 5c | 750$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…8959backed Colts | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 56c | 709.26$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Colts | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…afbdbacked Colts | 48c | 614$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…db42backed Colts | 48c | 602$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…6ea6backed Colts | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colts | 48c | 590.21$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.3 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…db2dbacked Colts | 48c | 571.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…632bbacked Steelers | 53c | 570.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…7439backed Colts | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Colts | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Colts | 48c | 472.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Colts | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf09…88b3backed Steelers | 52c | 457$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Steelers | 51c | 436$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38a…d279backed Colts | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Colts | 48c | 407.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…00c7backed Colts | 48c | 384.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…be34backed Steelers | 53c | 383$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Steelers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Colts | 47c | 327.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Colts | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Colts | 49c | 302.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Colts | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Colts | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Steelers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…c144backed Steelers | 52c | 272$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Steelers | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Steelers | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Colts | 50c | 244$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Steelers | 52c | 241$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Steelers | 55c | 230$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…6617backed Steelers | 52c | 216$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Colts | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Colts | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Steelers | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Colts | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Steelers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Steelers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Colts | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Steelers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Colts | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Colts | 47c | 190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Colts | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Steelers | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Colts | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…6dbebacked Colts | 49c | 159.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Steelers | 49c | 158.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Steelers | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Colts | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Colts | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Colts | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2708backed Steelers | 52c | 126$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…2ad9backed Steelers | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Steelers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Colts | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Colts | 50c | 100.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Steelers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Colts | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)this page
- Colts vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Colts vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 50.5Under won
- Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Colts (-2.5)Steelers won
- Steelers Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.