NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be911bd6212333670aef283f63d824ff57d91782b4db5e18f91c20144ac45aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $892,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $932,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers | 68c | 53,196$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50,186$25,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,093 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Heat | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Heat | 27c | 30,844$8,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,515.81 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Heat | 74c | 27,192$20,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,148.02 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Heat | 42c | 25,433$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,647.88 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Heat | 27c | 25,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,250 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Cavaliers | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,249.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 28c | 20,103$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,505.45 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 23c | 18,143$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,952.83 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Heat | 27c | 17,906$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,028.04 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,949.79 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.95 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Cavaliers | 1c | 9,897$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers | 72c | 9,368$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.13 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 73c | 9,325$6,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,806.89 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Cavaliers | 73c | 9,000$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.92 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 41c | 8,214$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.3 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 44c | 8,191$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.71 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers | 34c | 7,846$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.52 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 31c | 6,806$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.18 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers | 73c | 6,500$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 6,389$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.8 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers | 73c | 6,224$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.46 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 49c | 6,047$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.05 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Cavaliers | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Cavaliers | 73c | 5,479$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 35c | 5,069$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 4,931$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 53c | 4,724$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.32 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 36c | 4,455$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.61 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 27c | 4,322$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.08 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 70c | 4,233$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.11 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,111$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.96 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Heat | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 43c | 3,430$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.38 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,409$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.16 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 53c | 3,378$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.13 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Heat | 33c | 3,267$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.97 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers | 70c | 3,200$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.43 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 5c | 3,076$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Heat | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…98f5backed Heat | 22c | 2,731$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.07 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 61c | 2,721$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.82 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 2,650$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.5 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Heat | 28c | 2,521$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.35 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 2,507$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Heat | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 56c | 2,419$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.08 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Cavaliers | 26c | 2,412$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Heat | 48c | 2,100$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 26c | 2,035$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.9 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a36ebacked Heat | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Cavaliers | 6c | 1,998$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 52c | 1,968$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.52 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,813$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,811$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Heat | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,755$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 28c | 1,629$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 42c | 1,579$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,564$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heat | 53c | 1,522$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.83 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1876backed Heat | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Heat | 27c | 1,473$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.29 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,469$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…0d14backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Heat | 76c | 1,395$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f69bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,386$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…44e6backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,379$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…beaabacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,373$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 27c | 1,369$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Heat | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Heat | 28c | 1,300$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.98 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Heat | 53c | 1,254$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,232$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.26 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Heat | 57c | 1,230$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.55 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Heat | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Heat | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.98 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Cavaliers | 18c | 1,185$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Heat | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…5ea1backed Heat | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…af12backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Heat | 73c | 1,107$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…7c9bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cavaliers | 15c | 1,100$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,070$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Heat | 27c | 1,064$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Heatthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.