TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No23c7,930$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.883,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No39c7,309$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.967354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No7c4,276$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8213131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c3,656$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.9976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c3,084$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.8430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes61c2,946$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes61c2,077$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.481,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes57c2,000$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ea…e0fbbacked Yes76c1,859$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c1,823$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes59c1,393$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.071650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Yes23c1,019$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes63c956.41$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4112441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c822.37$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c778.57$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x640a…f359backed No25c772.74$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.99933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c656.99$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9418641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes58c554.99$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.853455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16021850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5918…6bfcbacked Yes63c317$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c316.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes78c310$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes59c245.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.458557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65ac…8460backed Yes73c209$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes22c199.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.996212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…a6f2backed Yes72c186$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No16c160.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c154$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes61c137.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes58c112.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…91dcbacked Yes70c111.35$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44d…7abbbacked Yes79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…7aafbacked Yes58c101$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.42425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…3824backed Yes63c95.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes65c93.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8516442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.919749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…797abacked Yes59c77.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.184055%22 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No73c66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.189642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7147…ab83backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…ebc1backed Yes60c59.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c59.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.745949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes60c56.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c54.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2835848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No45c54.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.135056%28 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…9ebbbacked No34c50.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed No42c50.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.546453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.539749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes21c49.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9278927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes24c48.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4210037%37 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67c4…25fcbacked Yes73c46.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes62c45.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a74…c861backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee6…4ca9backed Yes64c42.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bce…55f6backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes61c36.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No77c35.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.317349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0047…f4aebacked No50c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.917851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Yes55c33.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.141070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3313461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No77c33.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…88dfbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No77c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6412945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.113050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No77c29.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.616831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6436349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6415649.4%77 W · 79 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Yes64c25.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.171154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…e072backed Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.487945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.489547.4%45 W · 50 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.485545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No77c23.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed No48c21.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac5…8d0abacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6320245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0a…76a3backed Yes59c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+297.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x985b…46c4backed No79c16.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Yes70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.