Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39106b6929236fac18d01bcdfe5997ccff817fbe05f73773d2c8664fd15cbc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 76c | 1,430$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,367$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 18c | 999.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 646.59$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 531.75$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 529.92$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 496.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 28c | 472.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 28c | 356.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 28c | 308.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 277.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 212.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 27c | 138.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 34c | 75.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 23c | 63.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 53.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 77c | 31.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448e…9e08backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 68c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.