TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked No32c25,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.895352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No32c22,242$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.9715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No32c21,999$7,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,009.7519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes67c20,864$13,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.657241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes68c18,373$12,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.3821343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes68c18,080$12,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,785.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes69c10,997$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.6714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No33c10,900$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.9432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes67c10,000$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No28c8,104$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.232,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No32c7,928$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.0546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes66c6,020$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.3627433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No32c5,664$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.1315044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe719…b74dbacked Yes72c5,524$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.773246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No32c5,014$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.382,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9414860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes70c4,904$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.135356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No29c4,763$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.3674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No33c3,850$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.433350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No32c3,572$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.0122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No1c3,420$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5514325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes74c3,140$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.2711555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No34c3,053$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03812241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes69c3,030$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.636538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9937959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No35c2,888$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes69c2,729$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No33c2,547$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.5736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No1c2,450$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed No34c2,260$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.2515127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No33c2,000$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.1840343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.936543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes67c1,993$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.645440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes65c1,816$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No22c1,684$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.272,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed No34c1,677$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.0723236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Yes67c1,661$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.265660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes66c1,609$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.521850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Yes68c1,588$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.2512544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.549161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes67c1,492$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3610959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.721687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5921443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No33c1,375$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7511558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No34c1,254$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes71c1,244$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0411634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes69c1,012$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.594522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf780…be2cbacked Yes67c1,010$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.455550.9%28 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd338…ae5bbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012557.6%72 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c48…c943backed Yes71c897.92$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Yes67c852.51$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.339254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc54…6952backed Yes68c796.88$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552564%16 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.589649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a87…89eabacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5825437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Yes67c751.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.368367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3a…dec9backed Yes71c749.08$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8baa…f299backed Yes67c746.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.723638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a15…dcf6backed Yes69c714.46$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.482065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…8cffbacked Yes69c675.36$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes66c664.43$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7166…6922backed Yes68c622.22$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes65c599.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21014445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Yes68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.242552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63fb…70a2backed Yes66c583.24$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…589fbacked Yes71c552.68$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.282263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed No34c539.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.598247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf697…c72cbacked Yes66c536.79$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.514254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d2…ab03backed Yes68c502.32$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.742070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16031171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes67c499.94$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.984738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked No31c494.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.656250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No33c479.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.991,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d6…d5d5backed No35c454.29$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No33c449.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4624344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.765028%14 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No35c446$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.110945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Yes67c445.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.254454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…ad46backed Yes71c442.34$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce84…4057backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Yes67c440.49$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.365341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No36c436.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0915441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No33c426.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7720448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…8312backed Yes68c423.32$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.462065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1368939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12828873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61b…3d1dbacked Yes68c397.26$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.122560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Yes67c379.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.49637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Yes67c369.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3420851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556a…5f0fbacked Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes71c351.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2116750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11945248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Yes68c327.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.944746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.