TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75f5…6070

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.11
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,996.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,062
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,950.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,506.25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,534.97
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$247.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,375.99
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,112.5
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$364
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$399.99
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$378
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$272
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$288
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wuning: Shu Muto vs Qian Sunbacked Qian Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.69
ITF Wuning: Minghui Zhang vs Zhao Zhaobacked Zhao Zhao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$296
ITF Wuning: Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul vs Saveliy Ivanovbacked Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$272
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.7
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.19
Granby: Sasha Rozin vs Keegan Ricebacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$882
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$742
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.