Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8783855ec50793eeed81fed016a418e663244bfcb4ec66ba6783cb218b8c33f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 15c | 2,380$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.27 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 27c | 664.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.9 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 6c | 549.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 78c | 381.61$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed Yes | 25c | 365.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 315.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 276$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 73c | 275.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…d2c8backed Yes | 42c | 212.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…4d9dbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 198.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 197.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 179.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 16c | 178.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 79c | 166.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 153.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed Yes | 29c | 153.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 58c | 152.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 151.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 145.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 139.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 47c | 135.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…ff97backed Yes | 23c | 125.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 11c | 120.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 39c | 105.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed Yes | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 49c | 89.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 23c | 88.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…07a0backed No | 25c | 85.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 74c | 81.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 51c | 80.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…41a3backed No | 78c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 20c | 70.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…b509backed Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 43c | 67.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 66.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…7773backed No | 77c | 64.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 63.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 61.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 45c | 60.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 19c | 56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 54.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 54.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 53.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad74…e535backed No | 78c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…a908backed No | 45c | 47.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 50c | 47.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2920backed Yes | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 32c | 42.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…6070backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 56c | 39.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…6083backed No | 49c | 36.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 29c | 36.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 48c | 33.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b7bfbacked No | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 57c | 31.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…d749backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ba19backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 56c | 29.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 76c | 25.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 76c | 21.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 19.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed No | 63c | 16.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 78c | 15.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or higher on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.