TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe217…7058

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$48.79
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.76
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$20.28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.92
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+246.9%+$28.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$40.56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+109%+$17.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$13.53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Iowa Stormboar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$8.77
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$28.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.87
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$18.53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.