CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de06bc0096fcf266cd39d99b8e628079dc4b8c8a51f8423a1c593adc35b155a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 51c | 523.67$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 434$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 424.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 400.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 281.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 267.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 23c | 216.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 194.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 193.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 176.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 169.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 149.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 145.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 133.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 93.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Johnny Speeds | 71c | 70.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 62.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 36c | 55.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 54.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 36c | 47.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 28.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 21.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…a6f6backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.