CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1b4731600219a7a2540c88d68362bd9208ff5b5923d1c0406784d5ebef818b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 21c | 889.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 159.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 23c | 153.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 54c | 57.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 50.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 50.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 75c | 38.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Johnny Speeds | 38c | 29.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.