CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4beba9a14c0f429d425f265491ad5a9d0b9190515fb8d8f2b6858fd3422ea4c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 3,456$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.25 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 3,007$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 2,110$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 597$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 513$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 454.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 436.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 324.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 314.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 297.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 171.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 147$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 133.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 127.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 120.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 110.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 43c | 108.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 103.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 102.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 98.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 86.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 58.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 56.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 42c | 51.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 44.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 43.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 30.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.